91̽»¨ÊÓƵ

Ehling, Paul; Graniero, Alessandro & Heyerdahl-Larsen, Christian (2018)

Asset prices and portfolio choice with learning from experience

Review of Economic Studies, 85(3), s. 1752- 1780. Doi: -

We study asset prices and portfolio choice with overlapping generations, where the young disregard history to learn from own experience. Disregarding history implies less precise estimates of output growth, which in equilibrium leads the young to increase their investment in risky assets after positive returns, that is, they act as trend chasers. In equilibrium, the risk premium decreases after a positive shock and, therefore, trend chasing young agents lose wealth relative to old agents who behave as contrarians. Consistent with findings from survey data, the average belief about the risk premium in the economy relates negatively to future excess returns and is smoother than the true risk premium.

Konermann, Patrick; Ehling, Paul & Graniero, Alessandro (2020)

Asset Pricing with a CEO

[Academic lecture]. 91̽»¨ÊÓƵ-ShoF.

Graniero, Alessandro (2020)

The Macro and Asset Pricing Implications of Fluctuating Information Quality

[Academic lecture]. European Economic Association meeting.

Graniero, Alessandro; Ehling, Paul & Konermann, Patrick (2019)

Asset Pricing with a CEO

[Academic lecture]. 91̽»¨ÊÓƵ internal seminar.

Graniero, Alessandro (2019)

The Macro and Asset Pricing Implications of Fluctuating Information Quality

[Academic lecture]. Lecture.

Graniero, Alessandro (2016)

Information Precision, Confidence Risk and the Macroeconomy

[Report]. Handelshøyskolen 91̽»¨ÊÓƵ.